Live prediction market odds for Capitals vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-23
This market resolved on 2026-01-23. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 56% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 45% |
Capitals vs. Flames was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). WSH Capitals led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 23%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, Calgary Flames at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket. The 43.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
WSH Capitals
77.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Washington at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
