Live prediction market odds for Capitals vs. Oilers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-24
This market resolved on 2026-01-24. Edmonton Oilers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Edmonton OilersWINNER | 99% | 63% |
WSH Capitals | 1% | 38% |
Capitals vs. Oilers was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Edmonton Oilers led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include WSH Capitals at 19%.
Edmonton Oilers held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Edmonton Oilers, WSH Capitals at 19% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Edmonton Oilers: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket. WSH Capitals: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that Edmonton Oilers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Edmonton Oilers
80.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf WSH Capitals wins the Washington at Edmonton professional hockey game scheduled for Jan 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
