Live prediction market odds for Capitals vs. Islanders. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-11-30
This market resolved on 2025-11-30. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 100% |
NYI Islanders | 1% | 5% |
Capitals vs. Islanders was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). WSH Capitals led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include NYI Islanders at 3%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, NYI Islanders at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. NYI Islanders: 1¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
WSH Capitals
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf WSH Capitals wins the Washington vs New York I professional hockey game scheduled for Nov 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
