About This Market
ShareWashington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins — NHL game held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-11
This market resolved on 2026-04-11. Washington Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins — NHL game held on 2026-04-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Washington CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 57% | 99% |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 1% | 44% | 9% |
Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Washington Capitals led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Pittsburgh Penguins at 18%.
Washington Capitals held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Washington Capitals, Pittsburgh Penguins at 18% were the next closest contenders. The 42.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Washington Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Pittsburgh Penguins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 42.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Washington Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Washington at Pittsburgh professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 11 at 3:00PM ET: If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Washington Capitals
84.8% avg