Live prediction market odds for Capitals vs. Sharks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2025-12-03
This market resolved on 2025-12-03. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 56% |
SJ Sharks | 1% | 44% |
Capitals vs. Sharks was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). WSH Capitals led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SJ Sharks at 23%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, SJ Sharks at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 43.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket. SJ Sharks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket. The 43.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
WSH Capitals
77.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf SJ Sharks wins the Washington vs San Jose professional hockey game scheduled for Dec 3, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
