Live prediction market odds for NJ-05 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-05 House election scheduled for November 2026. This race will be pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, especially in the context of national political trends and voter sentiment leading up to the election.
Democratic Party leads the “NJ-05 House winner” event at 84.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 15.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include voter turnout, candidate popularity, and local issues that resonate with constituents. Additionally, national political dynamics and party support can sway the election results.
Odds are based on the collective insights and expectations of market participants regarding the candidates' chances of winning. Factors like polling data, campaign events, and historical voting patterns are considered.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state races.
NJ-05 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 85% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 16%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 85% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 16% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
84.5% avg
