Live prediction market odds for NJ-07 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NJ-07 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence party control in the House and impact legislative agendas.
Democratic Party leads the “NJ-07 House winner” event at 70.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 17.5%. A 17.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political dynamics and local issues can sway public opinion.
This race is part of the 2026 midterm elections, which will determine the balance of power in Congress. Key issues in New Jersey may resonate with voters and affect the outcome.
The winner will be decided on November 4, 2026, during the general election. Early voting and absentee ballots may also play a role in the final tally.
NJ-07 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 18%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 18% are the next closest contenders. The 17.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
70.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NJ-7 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
