Live prediction market odds for NJ-12 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Adam Hamawy was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 89%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NJ-12 Democratic nominee for the upcoming 2026 elections. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies in a key district, impacting broader electoral trends in New Jersey.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Adam HamawyWINNER | 99% | 89% | 50% |
Brad Cohen | 1% | 50% | 2% |
Adrian Mapp | 4% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors that shape the odds. Additionally, local issues and voter sentiment can significantly impact candidate viability.
NJ-12 has a history of leaning Democratic, but voter turnout and candidate appeal can alter outcomes. Historical voting patterns provide context but do not guarantee future results.
The nomination process typically culminates in the primary elections held on June 2, 2026. Candidates will campaign and participate in debates leading up to this date to secure their position.
NJ-12 Democratic nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Adam Hamawy led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Brad Cohen at 18%, Adrian Mapp at 52%, Sue Altman at 3%.
Adam Hamawy held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Adam Hamawy, Brad Cohen at 18% and Adrian Mapp at 52% and Sue Altman at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 99.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Adam Hamawy
79.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sue Altman wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NJ-12 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
| 100% |
| — |
Sue Altman | 2% | 4% | — |
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson | 1% | 2% | — |
Kyle Little | 0% | 0% | — |
Elijah Dixon | 0% | 100% | — |
