Live prediction market odds for NM-02 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-04
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the NM-02 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, with candidates vying for key voter demographics in a competitive district.
Democratic Party leads the “NM-02 House winner” event at 77.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 19.8%. A 15.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Key factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and local issues that resonate with voters. Additionally, national political trends and voter turnout will play significant roles.
The NM-02 House election is set for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election date for federal offices.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.
NM-02 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic Party leads at 77% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 20%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 77% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 20% are the next closest contenders. The 15.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
77.0% avg
