Live prediction market odds for North Dakota St. at South Dakota St.. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-19
This market resolved on 2026-02-19. North Dakota St was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
North Dakota StWINNER | 99% | 94% |
South Dakota St | 1% | 94% |
North Dakota St. at South Dakota St. was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). North Dakota St led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include South Dakota St at 47%.
North Dakota St held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind North Dakota St, South Dakota St at 47% were the next closest contenders. The 92.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: North Dakota St: 99¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket. South Dakota St: 1¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket. The 92.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that North Dakota St would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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North Dakota St
96.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf South Dakota St. wins the North Dakota St. at South Dakota St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the North Dakota St. at South Dakota St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
