About This Market
ShareKalshi is tracking the number of rate cuts in 2026. Economic conditions, inflation rates, and central bank policies will heavily influence the likelihood of rate adjustments during that year.
Exactly 0 cuts leads the “Number of rate cuts in 2026” event at 78.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Exactly 1 cut (18.7%), Exactly 2 cuts (3.7%), and Exactly 3 cuts (1.6%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
