Live prediction market odds for NV-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NV-01 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader national trends in voter sentiment and party support.
Democratic Party leads the “NV-01 House winner” event at 73.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 16.7%. A 21.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and voter turnout also play critical roles in shaping the race.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and governance. It also serves as a bellwether for national political trends leading into the 2026 elections.
The NV-01 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date aligns with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.
NV-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 74% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 17%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 74% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 17% are the next closest contenders. The 21.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
73.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for NV-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
