Live prediction market odds for NV-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the NV-01 House winner for the upcoming 2026 elections. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect broader national trends in voter sentiment and party support.
Democratic Party leads the “NV-01 House winner” event at 83.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 11.4%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Odds are influenced by candidate popularity, fundraising efforts, and polling data. Local issues and voter turnout also play critical roles in shaping the race.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in Congress, affecting legislative priorities and governance. It also serves as a bellwether for national political trends leading into the 2026 elections.
The NV-01 House election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date aligns with the general election, which includes various federal and state races.
NV-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 11%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 11% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Democratic Party
83.5% avg
