Live prediction market odds for NY-07 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
Resolved 2026-06-23
This market resolved on 2026-06-23. Claire Valdez was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the race for the NY-07 Democratic nominee ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is crucial as it will determine the party's candidate in a competitive district, influencing the overall balance of power in Congress.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Claire ValdezWINNER | 100% | 100% | 99% |
Antonio Reynoso | 0% | 50% | 1% |
Prediction Market Track Record
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are key factors that influence the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and national political trends can impact the race.
The primary election for the NY-07 Democratic nominee is scheduled for June 23, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to secure their position ahead of the general election.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of the outcome. Prices fluctuate based on market sentiment and new information, reflecting the perceived likelihood of each candidate's success.
NY-07 Democratic nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Claire Valdez led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Antonio Reynoso at 17%.
Claire Valdez held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Claire Valdez, Antonio Reynoso at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 49.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Claire Valdez
99.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Claire Valdez wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-07 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
