Live prediction market odds for NY-13 Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-06-23
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee in New York's 13th congressional district ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it will influence the party's strategy and representation in a key urban area, impacting broader electoral dynamics.
Darializa Avila Chevalier leads the “NY-13 Democratic nominee” event at 54.0% implied probability, followed by Adriano Espaillat at 46.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign funding are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and demographic shifts in the district can play a significant role.
The nominee will be decided during the primary elections scheduled for June 23, 2026. This date is crucial as it sets the stage for the general election.
The outcome of the NY-13 Democratic nomination can influence party strategies in other districts. A strong candidate may bolster Democratic chances in surrounding areas and contribute to the overall party momentum.
NY-13 Democratic nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Darializa Avila Chevalier leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adriano Espaillat at 47%.
Darializa Avila Chevalier currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Darializa Avila Chevalier, Adriano Espaillat at 47% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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Darializa Avila Chevalier
54.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Adriano Espaillat wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 NY-13 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
