About This Market
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Democratic nominee in New York's 13th congressional district ahead of the 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it will influence the party's strategy and representation in a key urban area, impacting broader electoral dynamics.
Adriano Espaillat leads the “NY-13 Democratic nominee” event at 65.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Darializa Avila Chevalier (32.8%), Oscar Romero (3.1%), James Felton Keith (3.9%), and Megan Rodriguez (3.0%). A 10.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

