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Live prediction market odds for NY-17 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

NY-17 House winner?

2026-11-04

About This Market

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Democratic Party leads the “NY-17 House winner” event at 64.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 34.2%. A 11.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

3 platforms
DP
Democratic PartyARB
64% Avg
Kalshi66¢
Polymarket59¢
PredictIt69¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
65.0%64¢66¢34¢36¢
PolymarketPolymarket
58.0%57¢59¢41¢43¢
PredictItPredictIt
68.0%67¢69¢31¢33¢
RP
Republican PartyARB
34% Avg
Kalshi37¢
Polymarket39¢
PredictIt28¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
36.0%35¢37¢63¢65¢
PolymarketPolymarket
38.0%37¢39¢61¢63¢
PredictItPredictIt
27.0%26¢28¢72¢74¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "NY-17 House winner?" and why does it matter?

NY-17 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic Party leads at 65% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 34%.

What is moving the odds on "NY-17 House winner?"?

Democratic Party currently leads at 65% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 34% are the next closest contenders. The 11.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "NY-17 House winner?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt: Democratic Party: 66¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket, 69¢ on PredictIt. Republican Party: 37¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 28¢ on PredictIt. The 11.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that Democratic Party is at 65%?

A price of 65¢ means the market estimates a 65% probability that Democratic Party will be the outcome. Buying one share at 65¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 54% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread11.0%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Volume$7K
Leader

Democratic Party

64.5% avg

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?