Live prediction market odds for NY-22 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the NY-22 House race in the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and national policies.
Democratic Party leads the “NY-22 House winner” event at 84.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 12.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Polling data, candidate fundraising, and local issues play significant roles in shaping the odds. Voter sentiment and turnout predictions also impact market movements.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. A change in party control may lead to different legislative agendas and priorities.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle, which includes various federal and state contests.
NY-22 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 84% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 13%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 84% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 13% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
84.3% avg
