Live prediction market odds for OH-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-01 House race. This election outcome could influence party control in Congress and impact legislative priorities moving forward.
Democratic Party leads the “OH-01 House winner” event at 53.5% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 48.3%. A 51.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, voter turnout, and national political trends. Polling data and local issues also play a crucial role in shaping voter sentiment.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. Such changes can affect legislative agendas and the ability to pass key policies.
OH-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 48%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 48% are the next closest contenders. The 51.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “OH-01 House winner?” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
Democratic Party
53.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OH-1 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
