Live prediction market odds for OH-01 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the OH-01 House race. This election outcome could influence party control in Congress and impact legislative priorities moving forward.
Democratic Party leads the “OH-01 House winner” event at 72.3% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 24.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, voter turnout, and national political trends. Polling data and local issues also play a crucial role in shaping voter sentiment.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This timing aligns with the general election cycle in the United States.
The outcome could shift the balance of power in the House of Representatives. Such changes can affect legislative agendas and the ability to pass key policies.
OH-01 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 24%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 24% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
72.3% avg
