Live prediction market odds for OH-13 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of the OH-13 House race for the upcoming 2026 elections. This contest is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress, impacting legislative priorities and national policies.
Democratic Party leads the “OH-13 House winner” event at 54.1% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 10.0%. A 69.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include candidate popularity, campaign funding, and voter turnout trends. Additionally, national political climate and local issues can sway public opinion.
The election is scheduled for November 4, 2026. This date is significant as it coincides with the general election, which typically sees higher voter engagement.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of various outcomes. Prices reflect collective expectations and can change rapidly with new information.
OH-13 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 54% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 10%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 54% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 10% are the next closest contenders. The 69.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Democratic Party
54.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for OH-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
