Live prediction market odds for OH-13 House winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-04
Democratic Party leads the “OH-13 House winner” event at 82.0% implied probability, followed by Republican Party at 16.8%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
OH-13 House winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Democratic Party leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican Party at 17%.
Democratic Party currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Democratic Party, Republican Party at 17% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Democratic Party: 82¢ on Kalshi, 82¢ on Polymarket. Republican Party: 15¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Democratic Party will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic Party
82.0% avg
