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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 7.5% // +$750.00

Live prediction market odds for Ohio Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.

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Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt

Ohio Governor winner?

2026-11-03

About This Market

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Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt are tracking the Ohio Governor race for the upcoming election on November 3, 2026. The outcome will influence state policies and party dynamics, making it a focal point in the broader political landscape leading up to the election.

Democrat leads the “Ohio Governor winner” event at 50.0% implied probability, followed by Republican at 49.8%. A 7.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
D
DemocratARB
50% Avg
Kalshi46¢
Polymarket54¢
PredictIt54¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
45.5%45¢46¢54¢55¢
PolymarketPolymarket
53.0%52¢54¢46¢48¢
PredictItPredictIt
52.0%50¢54¢46¢50¢
R
RepublicanARB
50% Avg
Kalshi54¢
Polymarket48¢
PredictIt51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
53.5%53¢54¢46¢47¢
PolymarketPolymarket
46.5%45¢48¢52¢55¢
PredictItPredictIt
49.0%47¢51¢49¢53¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Ohio Governor race?

Polling data, candidate announcements, and campaign funding are critical factors that shape the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in Ohio can sway predictions.

How do prediction markets work for political events like this?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various candidates winning.

Why is the Ohio Governor race significant in 2026?

The Ohio Governor race is significant as it can impact state-level policies on issues like healthcare, education, and infrastructure. Additionally, the winner may influence national party strategies ahead of future elections.

What is "Ohio Governor winner?" and why does it matter?

Ohio Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democrat leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican at 50%.

What is moving the odds on "Ohio Governor winner?"?

Democrat currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Democrat, Republican at 50% are the next closest contenders. The 7.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
US State Governments
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.5%
Platforms3
Candidates2
Leader

Democrat

50.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Ohio Governor winner?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Ohio pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
US State Governments
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