Live prediction market odds for Oil Price (WTI) on May 4, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-05-04
Kalshi is tracking the Oil Price (WTI) on May 4, 2026. Fluctuations in global supply, geopolitical tensions, and economic indicators will influence market expectations and pricing leading up to this date.
$98 or above leads the “Oil Price (WTI) on May 4, 2026” event at 88.0% implied probability. Other contenders include $99 or above (82.5%), $100 or above (77.0%), $101 or above (69.0%), and $102 or above (56.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Global supply levels, geopolitical events, and economic growth forecasts are key drivers. Additionally, OPEC's production decisions can significantly impact prices.
Prediction markets aggregate information from various sources, including trader sentiment and market analysis. Prices reflect collective expectations about future events.
The WTI oil price affects transportation costs, energy prices, and inflation rates. Changes in oil prices can have ripple effects across various sectors of the economy.
Oil Price (WTI) on May 4, 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). $98 or above leads at 88% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $99 or above at 83%, $100 or above at 77%, $101 or above at 69%.
$98 or above currently leads at 88% implied probability. Behind $98 or above, $99 or above at 83% and $100 or above at 77% and $101 or above at 69% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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$98 or above
88.0% avg
