About This Market
ShareJackson Lahmeyer leads the “OK-01 Republican nominee” event at 82.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Mark Tedford (21.0%), and Nathan Butterfield (5.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Live prediction market odds for OK-01 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Kalshi
2026-06-16
Jackson Lahmeyer leads the “OK-01 Republican nominee” event at 82.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Mark Tedford (21.0%), and Nathan Butterfield (5.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
OK-01 Republican nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Jackson Lahmeyer leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Tedford at 21%, Nathan Butterfield at 5%.
Jackson Lahmeyer currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Jackson Lahmeyer, Mark Tedford at 21% and Nathan Butterfield at 5% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Jackson Lahmeyer: 82¢ on Kalshi. Mark Tedford: 21¢ on Kalshi. Nathan Butterfield: 5¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Jackson Lahmeyer will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Jackson Lahmeyer
82.0% avg