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Live prediction market odds for OK-01 Republican nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Kalshi

OK-01 Republican nominee?

2026-06-16

About This Market

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Jackson Lahmeyer leads the “OK-01 Republican nominee” event at 82.0% implied probability. Other contenders include Mark Tedford (21.0%), and Nathan Butterfield (5.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
JL
Jackson Lahmeyer
81% Avg
Kalshi82¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
81.0%80¢82¢18¢20¢
MT
Mark Tedford
20% Avg
Kalshi21¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
20.0%19¢21¢79¢81¢
NB
Nathan Butterfield
4% Avg
Kalshi5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%3¢5¢95¢97¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "OK-01 Republican nominee?" and why does it matter?

OK-01 Republican nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). Jackson Lahmeyer leads at 82% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Mark Tedford at 21%, Nathan Butterfield at 5%.

What is moving the odds on "OK-01 Republican nominee?"?

Jackson Lahmeyer currently leads at 82% implied probability. Behind Jackson Lahmeyer, Mark Tedford at 21% and Nathan Butterfield at 5% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

What are the current odds for "OK-01 Republican nominee?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: Jackson Lahmeyer: 82¢ on Kalshi. Mark Tedford: 21¢ on Kalshi. Nathan Butterfield: 5¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.

What does it mean that Jackson Lahmeyer is at 82%?

A price of 82¢ means the market estimates a 82% probability that Jackson Lahmeyer will be the outcome. Buying one share at 82¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 22% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Resolution Oracles

This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.

Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates3
Volume$7K
Leader

Jackson Lahmeyer

82.0% avg

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