Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oklahoma Governor Election Winner set for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence state policies and party dynamics in the region, particularly in the context of national political trends.
Republican leads the “Oklahoma Governor Election Winner” event at 91.8% implied probability, followed by Democrat at 9.9%. A 1.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign fundraising efforts play crucial roles in shaping the odds. Additionally, voter sentiment and key issues in Oklahoma can impact predictions.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of election outcomes. Prices reflect the collective wisdom of market participants regarding the likelihood of various candidates winning.
The outcome of this election could affect local governance and legislative priorities in Oklahoma. It may also have implications for the broader political landscape, especially in the lead-up to national elections.
Oklahoma Governor Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democrat at 10%.
Republican currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Republican, Democrat at 10% are the next closest contenders. A 1.7% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Republican
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oklahoma pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
91.8% avg
