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Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

Kalshi / PredictIt

Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

2026-06-16

About This Market

Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee markets are being tracked by Kalshi and PredictIt. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflects broader trends in voter sentiment and party dynamics leading up to the 2026 elections.

Kevin Hern is priced at 91.8% implied probability for the “Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee” event. A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities

Live Markets

2 platforms
KH
Kevin Hern
71% Avg
Kalshi91¢
PredictIt95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
88.5%86¢91¢9¢14¢
PredictItPredictIt
53.0%11¢95¢5¢89¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Kevin Hern

Kevin Hern is the Chair of the House Republican Policy Committee and represents Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Before entering politics, he built a successful business empire, owning 24 McDonald's franchises in Northeastern Oklahoma. He is now campaigning for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Senator Markwayne Mullin, who was nominated to lead the Department of Homeland Security.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies significantly influence the odds. Additionally, national political trends and local issues may sway voter preferences.

When is the election for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

The election for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to solidify their positions and gain voter support.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as political nominations. Prices reflect collective expectations and can change rapidly based on new information or events.

What is "Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?" and why does it matter?

Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Kevin Hern leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite.

What is moving the odds on "Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?"?

Kevin Hern currently leads at 92% implied probability. The 6.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Smart Trade Router

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread6.5%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Kevin Hern

91.8% avg

Market Rulebook: Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Nick Hankins wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Oklahoma Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
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