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Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and PredictIt.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / PredictIt

Kevin Hern Wins: Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

Resolved 2026-06-16

This market resolved on 2026-06-16. Kevin Hern was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.

About This Market

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Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee markets are being tracked by Kalshi and PredictIt. This race is crucial as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflects broader trends in voter sentiment and party dynamics leading up to the 2026 elections.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
PredictIt
Kevin HernWINNER
100%99%

Candidate Spotlight

About Kevin Hern

Kevin Hern is the Chair of the House Republican Policy Committee and represents Oklahoma's 1st Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Before entering politics, he built a successful business empire, owning 24 McDonald's franchises in Northeastern Oklahoma. He is now campaigning for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Senator Markwayne Mullin, who was nominated to lead the Department of Homeland Security.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

Polling data, candidate endorsements, and campaign strategies significantly influence the odds. Additionally, national political trends and local issues may sway voter preferences.

When is the election for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

The election for the Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee is scheduled for June 16, 2026. This date is critical for candidates to solidify their positions and gain voter support.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on the likelihood of specific outcomes, such as political nominations. Prices reflect collective expectations and can change rapidly based on new information or events.

What was "Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?" and why did it matter?

Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, PredictIt). Kevin Hern led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution.

What moved the odds on "Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?"?

Kevin Hern held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.9% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Winner

Kevin Hern

99.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Oklahoma Republican Senate nominee?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Kevin Hern wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class II Oklahoma Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
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