About This Market
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress for the 2026 Academy Awards. This award influences industry recognition and can significantly impact the careers of nominees, making it a focal point during awards season.
Amy Madigan leads Oscar for Best Supporting Actress at 55.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Teyana Taylor (24.9%), Wunmi Mosaku (18.3%), Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas (2.6%), and Elle Fanning (2.6%). A 6.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.



