Live prediction market odds for Oscar nominations for Best Documentary Feature Film?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-22
This market resolved on 2026-01-22. Come See Me in the Good Light was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Come See Me in the Good LightWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Cutting Through Rocks | 99% | 100% |
Mr. Nobody Against Putin | 99% | 100% |
The Perfect Neighbor |
Oscar nominations for Best Documentary Feature Film was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Come See Me in the Good Light led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Cutting Through Rocks at 100%, Mr. Nobody Against Putin at 100%, The Perfect Neighbor at 100%.
Come See Me in the Good Light held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Come See Me in the Good Light, Cutting Through Rocks at 100% and Mr. Nobody Against Putin at 100% and The Perfect Neighbor at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Come See Me in the Good Light: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Cutting Through Rocks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Mr. Nobody Against Putin: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The Perfect Neighbor: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Come See Me in the Good Light would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Come See Me in the Good Light
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf The Perfect Neighbor has been nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 98th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2026.
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