Live prediction market odds for Oscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-01-22
This market resolved on 2026-01-22. Arco was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
ArcoWINNER | 99% | 100% |
KPop Demon Hunters | 99% | 100% |
Little Amélie or the Character of Rain | 99% | 100% |
Zootopia 2 | 99% | 100% |
In Your Dreams | 1% | 50% |
Oscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Nominations was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Arco led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include KPop Demon Hunters at 100%, Little Amélie or the Character of Rain at 100%, Zootopia 2 at 100%.
Arco held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Arco, KPop Demon Hunters at 100% and Little Amélie or the Character of Rain at 100% and Zootopia 2 at 100% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Arco: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. KPop Demon Hunters: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Little Amélie or the Character of Rain: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Zootopia 2: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Arco would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Arco
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf KPop Demon Hunters has been nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 98th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2026.
