Live prediction market odds for PA-13 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-13 House Election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Republican Party leads the “PA-13 House Election Winner” event at 94.5% implied probability, followed by Democratic Party at 5.3%. A 2.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Voter turnout, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are critical factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the election outcome. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions based on polling data and campaign developments.
This election is significant as it could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. A shift in control could affect legislative priorities and governance strategies.
PA-13 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican Party leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic Party at 5%.
Republican Party currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Republican Party, Democratic Party at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 2.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Republican Party
94.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
