Live prediction market odds for PA-13 House Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-11-03
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the PA-13 House Election scheduled for November 3, 2026. This election is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in Congress and reflect voter sentiment on key issues leading up to the election.
Republican party leads the “PA-13 House Election Winner” event at 92.3% implied probability, followed by Democratic party at 5.5%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread.
Voter turnout, candidate popularity, and campaign funding are critical factors. Additionally, local issues and national trends may sway public opinion leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate bets from participants, reflecting their expectations about the election outcome. Fluctuations in odds can indicate changing perceptions based on polling data and campaign developments.
This election is significant as it could impact the overall composition of the House of Representatives. A shift in control could affect legislative priorities and governance strategies.
PA-13 House Election Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Republican party leads at 92% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Democratic party at 6%.
Republican party currently leads at 92% implied probability. Behind Republican party, Democratic party at 6% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Republican party
92.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the House member sworn in for PA-13 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
