Live prediction market odds for Paris Mayoral Election. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-15
Market Summary
Current prediction market odds for the Paris Mayoral Election show Emmanuel Grégoire as the favorite with a 62.3% implied probability. Rachida Dati follows at 37.3%. With a 5.5% spread across platforms, an active arbitrage opportunity is currently available for traders.
Market Narrative // Why the odds are moving
President Emmanuel Macron will launch a government review of violent activist groups following the fatal beating of a far-right student in Lyon, highlighting political tensions that could impact voter sentiment ahead of the Paris mayoral election.. Meanwhile, Prediction Hunt reports: emmanuel grégoire's odds in the paris mayoral election fell 10 points to 56¢ on polymarket and 61¢ on kalshi..
Sources: The Washington Post / Prediction Hunt
Resolution
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Emmanuel Grégoire
62.3% avg
