About This Market
ShareDemocratic party leads the “Pennsylvania Governor winner” event at 94.2% implied probability, followed by Republican party at 4.8%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Live prediction market odds for Pennsylvania Governor winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and PredictIt.
Kalshi / Polymarket / PredictIt
2026-11-03
Democratic party leads the “Pennsylvania Governor winner” event at 94.2% implied probability, followed by Republican party at 4.8%. A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Pennsylvania Governor winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt). Democratic party leads at 94% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Republican party at 5%.
Democratic party currently leads at 94% implied probability. Behind Democratic party, Republican party at 5% are the next closest contenders. A 3.0% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt: Democratic party: 94¢ on Kalshi, 94¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on PredictIt. Republican party: 3¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on PredictIt. The 3.0% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 94¢ means the market estimates a 94% probability that Democratic party will be the outcome. Buying one share at 94¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 6% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Democratic party
94.2% avg