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ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 4.0% // +$400.00

Live prediction market odds for Pro Baseball RBIs Leader. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

Pro Baseball RBIs Leader

2026-09-28

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Baseball RBIs Leader for the 2026 season. This event is pivotal as it highlights individual player performance, influencing team strategies and fan engagement throughout the season.

Yordan Alvarez leads the “Pro Baseball RBIs Leader” event at 10.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Kyle Schwarber (6.8%), Pete Alonso (4.4%), Liam Hicks (4.3%), and Drake Baldwin (2.3%). A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
YA
Yordan Alvarez
11% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
12.5%9¢16¢84¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.5%8¢9¢91¢92¢
KS
Kyle Schwarber
8% Avg
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket9¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
8.5%5¢12¢88¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.5%6¢9¢91¢94¢
PA
Pete Alonso
3% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%0¢6¢94¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.0%1¢5¢95¢99¢
LH
Liam Hicks
3% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.5%0¢5¢95¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
3.5%2¢5¢95¢98¢
DB
Drake Baldwin
1% Avg
Kalshi4¢
Polymarket1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
2.0%0¢4¢96¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Álvarez is a designated hitter and left fielder for the Houston Astros. He was named the American League Rookie of the Year in 2019. Álvarez has a strong track record as a power hitter, consistently ranking among the league leaders in home runs and RBIs.

About Kyle Schwarber

Kyle Schwarber is a professional baseball player for the Philadelphia Phillies. He led the National League with 56 home runs and 132 RBIs in 2025. Schwarber's powerful hitting and high walk rate have established him as a consistent offensive force in Major League Baseball.

About Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge is the captain of the New York Yankees. He signed a nine-year, $360 million contract with the Yankees in 2022. Judge is a three-time American League Most Valuable Player and has been named to the All-MLB Team multiple times.

About Junior Caminero

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the RBIs leader in baseball?

Player performance, team dynamics, and batting order all contribute to a player's ability to accumulate RBIs. Additionally, injuries and trades can affect overall statistics.

How are odds determined for the RBIs leader market?

Odds are influenced by player statistics, historical performance, and expert analyses. Market sentiment can also shift based on real-time game outcomes and player health.

When does the RBIs leader market close?

The market will close at the end of the regular baseball season on September 28, 2026. This allows for the final tally of RBIs to determine the leader.

What is "Pro Baseball RBIs Leader" and why does it matter?

Pro Baseball RBIs Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Yordan Alvarez leads at 11% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Kyle Schwarber at 7%, Pete Alonso at 4%, Liam Hicks at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "Pro Baseball RBIs Leader"?

Yordan Alvarez currently leads at 11% implied probability. Behind Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Schwarber at 7% and Pete Alonso at 4% and Liam Hicks at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.0%
Platforms2
Candidates19
Leader

Yordan Alvarez

10.5% avg

Market Rulebook: Pro Baseball RBIs Leader

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Pete Alonso leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically includes them. If a participant competes for multiple teams during the season, statistics from all teams are combined. Participants who do not play any games due to injury, suspension, retirement, or other reasons resolve to No. League minimum qualification thresholds apply. In case of exact ties where the league does not declare a single winner, tied participants receive a proportional payout. Statistical corrections are only considered if made before the expiration date.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Junior Caminero is a third baseman for the Tampa Bay Rays. He debuted in MLB in 2023 and was named to the All-MLB Second Team in 2025. Caminero's consistent offensive performance and versatility in the infield have established him as a key player for the Rays.