Question 1

What factors influence the odds for the Pro Baseball Steals Leader?

Accepted Answer

Player performance metrics, injury reports, and team dynamics significantly impact the odds. Additionally, historical trends in base stealing can provide insights into potential leaders.

Question 2

How is the Pro Baseball Steals Leader determined?

Accepted Answer

The leader is determined by the total number of stolen bases recorded by players during the regular season. This statistic is closely monitored and updated throughout the season.

Question 3

Why is base stealing important in baseball?

Accepted Answer

Base stealing adds a strategic element to the game, allowing teams to advance runners and create scoring opportunities. It can also affect pitching strategies and defensive alignments.

Question 4

What is "Pro Baseball Steals Leader" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

Pro Baseball Steals Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). José Caballero leads at 12% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Elly De La Cruz at 7%, Victor Scott II at 5%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "Pro Baseball Steals Leader"?

Accepted Answer

José Caballero currently leads at 12% implied probability. Behind José Caballero, Elly De La Cruz at 7% and Victor Scott II at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 7.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "Pro Baseball Steals Leader" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: José Caballero: 15¢ on Kalshi, 8¢ on Polymarket. Elly De La Cruz: 8¢ on Kalshi, 7¢ on Polymarket. Victor Scott II: 5¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 7.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that José Caballero is at 12%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 12¢ means the market estimates a 12% probability that José Caballero will be the outcome. Buying one share at 12¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 733% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	14.0%	13¢	15¢	85¢	87¢
Polymarket	7.0%	6¢	8¢	92¢	94¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	7.0%	6¢	8¢	92¢	94¢
Polymarket	6.0%	5¢	7¢	93¢	95¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	4.0%	3¢	5¢	95¢	97¢
Polymarket	4.0%	3¢	5¢	95¢	97¢

Pro Baseball Steals Leader

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