Question 1

What factors influence the odds for the Pro Baseball Triples Leader?

Accepted Answer

Player statistics, injuries, and team dynamics are key factors affecting the odds. Additionally, performance trends and historical data play a significant role in shaping market expectations.

Question 2

How does this market impact fans and teams?

Accepted Answer

Fans often engage more deeply with the season as they track player performances. Teams may adjust their strategies based on which players are leading in triples, affecting overall game tactics.

Question 3

What is the significance of triples in baseball?

Accepted Answer

Triples are a rare and exciting outcome in baseball, showcasing a player's speed and hitting ability. They can change the momentum of a game and are often seen as a highlight of player performance.

Question 4

What is "Pro Baseball Triples Leader" and why does it matter?

Accepted Answer

Pro Baseball Triples Leader is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Corbin Carroll leads at 72% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Shohei Ohtani at 50%, Jarren Duran at 6%, Bobby Witt Jr at 5%.

Question 5

What is moving the odds on "Pro Baseball Triples Leader"?

Accepted Answer

Corbin Carroll currently leads at 72% implied probability. Behind Corbin Carroll, Shohei Ohtani at 50% and Jarren Duran at 6% and Bobby Witt Jr at 5% are the next closest contenders. The 95.8% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Question 6

What are the current odds for "Pro Baseball Triples Leader" across platforms?

Accepted Answer

Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Corbin Carroll: 72¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket. Shohei Ohtani: 2¢ on Kalshi, 98¢ on Polymarket. Jarren Duran: 8¢ on Kalshi, 3¢ on Polymarket. Bobby Witt Jr: 5¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket. The 95.8% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

Question 7

What does it mean that Corbin Carroll is at 72%?

Accepted Answer

A price of 72¢ means the market estimates a 72% probability that Corbin Carroll will be the outcome. Buying one share at 72¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 39% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	69.5%	65¢	74¢	26¢	35¢
Polymarket	71.5%	71¢	72¢	28¢	29¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	2.0%	0¢	4¢	96¢	100¢
Polymarket	97.5%	96¢	99¢	1¢	4¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	4.5%	1¢	8¢	92¢	99¢
Polymarket	3.5%	3¢	4¢	96¢	97¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	4.5%	3¢	6¢	94¢	97¢
Polymarket	4.5%	4¢	5¢	95¢	96¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes — Bid / Ask		No — Bid / Ask
Kalshi	2.0%	0¢	4¢	96¢	100¢
Polymarket	99.5%	99¢	100¢	0¢	1¢

Pro Baseball Triples Leader

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Candidate Spotlight

About Corbin Carroll

About Jarren Duran

About Bobby Witt Jr

About Elly De La Cruz

Frequently Asked Questions

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: Pro Baseball Triples Leader

About Daylen Lile