Live prediction market odds for Pro Basketball Southwest Division Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-04-12
This market resolved on 2026-04-12. San Antonio Spurs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Pro Basketball Southwest Division Winner for the 2025-2026 season. This event is crucial as it influences playoff seeding and reflects team performance throughout the regular season, impacting fan engagement and franchise revenues.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
San Antonio SpursWINNER | 100% | 100% |
Houston Rockets | 1% | 50% |
Memphis Grizzlies | 1% | 50% |
Team performance, player injuries, and head-to-head matchups significantly impact the odds. Additionally, trades and coaching changes can alter expectations.
Winning the division typically secures a higher seed in the playoffs, which can lead to a more favorable matchup. This advantage can be crucial for a team's championship aspirations.
The regular season for the NBA typically begins in mid-October and runs through mid-April. The exact schedule can vary slightly each year.
Pro Basketball Southwest Division Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). San Antonio Spurs led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Houston Rockets at 26%, Memphis Grizzlies at 26%.
San Antonio Spurs held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio Spurs, Houston Rockets at 26% and Memphis Grizzlies at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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San Antonio Spurs
99.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf San Antonio is the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Southwest Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.
