Live prediction market odds for "Project Hail Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-23
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Rotten Tomatoes score for Project Hail Mary. The film's reception could influence its box office performance and future adaptations, making this an event of interest for both fans and investors.
Above 60 leads "Project Hail Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score at 99.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Above 80 (99.0%), and Above 90 (95.3%). A 2.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Critics' reviews and audience ratings contribute to the Rotten Tomatoes score. The score reflects the percentage of positive reviews, which can significantly affect a film's reputation and success.
A higher Rotten Tomatoes score often correlates with increased audience interest and ticket sales. Positive reviews can lead to stronger word-of-mouth promotion, boosting box office revenue.
As an adaptation of a popular novel, the film's score will influence both critical reception and audience turnout. A favorable score may enhance its chances for sequels or related projects.
"Project Hail Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Above 60 leads at 99% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Above 80 at 99%, Above 90 at 95%.
Above 60 currently leads at 99% implied probability. Behind Above 60, Above 80 at 99% and Above 90 at 95% are the next closest contenders. A 2.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Above 60
99.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Project Hail Mary has a Tomatometer score of above 80 on Mar 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Project Hail Mary (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
