Live prediction market odds for "Project Hail Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-23
This market resolved on 2026-03-23. 60+ was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Rotten Tomatoes score for Project Hail Mary. The film's reception could influence its box office performance and future adaptations, making this an event of interest for both fans and investors.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
60+WINNER | 99% | 100% |
80+ | 99% | 100% |
90+ | 99% | 100% |
Critics' reviews and audience ratings contribute to the Rotten Tomatoes score. The score reflects the percentage of positive reviews, which can significantly affect a film's reputation and success.
A higher Rotten Tomatoes score often correlates with increased audience interest and ticket sales. Positive reviews can lead to stronger word-of-mouth promotion, boosting box office revenue.
As an adaptation of a popular novel, the film's score will influence both critical reception and audience turnout. A favorable score may enhance its chances for sequels or related projects.
"Project Hail Mary" Rotten Tomatoes score was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). 60+ led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include 80+ at 100%, 90+ at 100%.
60+ held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind 60+, 80+ at 100% and 90+ at 100% were the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 1.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
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60+
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Project Hail Mary has a Tomatometer score of above 80 on Mar 23, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The "Fresh!" and "Certified Fresh!" subtitles are meant for illustrative purposes only. The Tomatometer score must be above the strike value to resolve as YES (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No.) The market will be determined the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Project Hail Mary (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 23, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by March 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
