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MarketsWhalesArbTrending
ARBITRAGE_ACTIVE // SPREAD: 4.5% // +$450.00

Live prediction market odds for Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Polymarket / Predict.fun

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

2027-01-01

About This Market

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Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)

$50M leads the “Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 64.0% implied probability. Other contenders include $100M (50.4%), $200M (24.0%), $400M (11.5%), and $300M (8.3%). A 4.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
$
$50M
64% Avg
Polymarket65¢
Predict.fun64¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
64.5%64¢65¢35¢36¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
64.0%64¢64¢36¢37¢
$
$100M
51% Avg
Polymarket52¢
Predict.fun51¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
50.5%49¢52¢48¢51¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
50.5%50¢51¢49¢50¢
$
$200MARB
24% Avg
Polymarket26¢
Predict.fun23¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%24¢26¢74¢76¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
23.0%23¢23¢77¢77¢
$
$400M
12% Avg
Polymarket18¢
Predict.fun11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
12.5%7¢18¢83¢93¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
11.0%11¢11¢89¢90¢
$
$300M
11% Avg
Polymarket14¢
Predict.fun11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
PolymarketPolymarket
10.0%6¢14¢86¢94¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
11.0%11¢11¢89¢90¢

Frequently Asked Questions

What is "Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?" and why does it matter?

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $50M leads at 64% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $100M at 51%, $200M at 25%, $400M at 12%.

What is moving the odds on "Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?"?

$50M currently leads at 64% implied probability. Behind $50M, $100M at 51% and $200M at 25% and $400M at 12% are the next closest contenders. The 4.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

What are the current odds for "Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?" across platforms?

Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $50M: 65¢ on Polymarket. $100M: 51¢ on Polymarket. $200M: 25¢ on Polymarket. $400M: 12¢ on Polymarket. The 4.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.

What does it mean that $50M is at 64%?

A price of 64¢ means the market estimates a 64% probability that $50M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 64¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 56% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.

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Stats
Spread4.5%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

$50M

64.0% avg

Market Rulebook: Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Puffpaw\'s governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Puffpaw (https://www.puffpaw.xyz/) doesn\'t launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".'}

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