Live prediction market odds for Real Madrid vs Oviedo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-14
This market resolved on 2026-05-14. Real Madrid CF was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Real Madrid and Oviedo on May 14, 2026. This matchup is crucial as it could impact league standings and playoff positions, making the outcome significant for both teams and their supporters.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Real Madrid CFWINNER | 99% | 78% |
Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo) | 1% | 15% |
Real Oviedo | 1% | 9% |
A win for Real Madrid could solidify their position in the league, enhancing their chances for a playoff spot. Conversely, a loss may jeopardize their standing and affect their season's goals.
For Oviedo, securing points in this match is vital to avoid relegation threats. Their performance against a top team like Real Madrid can boost team morale and fan support.
Odds are influenced by team form, player injuries, historical performance, and fan sentiment. Betting markets adjust as these factors evolve leading up to the match.
Real Madrid vs Oviedo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Real Madrid CF led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo) at 8%, Real Oviedo at 5%.
Real Madrid CF held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Real Madrid CF, Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo) at 8% and Real Oviedo at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Real Madrid vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if Real Madrid wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.
Polymarket
Predict.fun{'description': 'In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 14, 2026\nIf Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to "No".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event\'s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.'}
Real Madrid CF
88.3% avg
