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Live prediction market odds for Real Madrid vs Oviedo. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

Real Madrid CF Wins: Real Madrid vs Oviedo

Resolved 2026-05-14

This market resolved on 2026-05-14. Real Madrid CF was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 88%.

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the match between Real Madrid and Oviedo on May 14, 2026. This matchup is crucial as it could impact league standings and playoff positions, making the outcome significant for both teams and their supporters.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Trade $20, get $20

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi. T&Cs apply.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Jun 17, 2026Last used 14 mins ago2 min avg claim

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
Real Madrid CFWINNER
99%78%
Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo)
1%15%
Real Oviedo
1%9%

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the implications of the match for Real Madrid?

A win for Real Madrid could solidify their position in the league, enhancing their chances for a playoff spot. Conversely, a loss may jeopardize their standing and affect their season's goals.

How does Oviedo's performance impact their league status?

For Oviedo, securing points in this match is vital to avoid relegation threats. Their performance against a top team like Real Madrid can boost team morale and fan support.

What factors influence the odds for this match?

Odds are influenced by team form, player injuries, historical performance, and fan sentiment. Betting markets adjust as these factors evolve leading up to the match.

What was "Real Madrid vs Oviedo" and why did it matter?

Real Madrid vs Oviedo was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Real Madrid CF led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo) at 8%, Real Oviedo at 5%.

What moved the odds on "Real Madrid vs Oviedo"?

Real Madrid CF held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Real Madrid CF, Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo) at 8% and Real Oviedo at 5% were the next closest contenders. The 21.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread21.5%
Platforms2
Candidates3
Winner

Real Madrid CF

88.3% avg

Market Rulebook: Real Madrid vs Oviedo

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Real Madrid wins the Real Madrid vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Real Madrid vs Oviedo professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
OpinionOpinion
Primary Rule

Resolves Yes if Real Madrid wins the match. Resolves No otherwise, including draws where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
Opinion AI
PolymarketPolymarket
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oracle
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 14, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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