Live prediction market odds for Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Kalshi
2026-07-11
GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders leads the “Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026” event at 29.0% implied probability. Other contenders include GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders (27.0%), GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders (20.0%), GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders (18.0%), and GTA 6 has surpassed 15 million preorders (15.0%). Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread.
Reported GTA VI Preorders: Before July 4, 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 1 platform (Kalshi). GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders leads at 29% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders at 27%, GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders at 20%, GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders at 18%.
GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders currently leads at 29% implied probability. Behind GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders, GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders at 27% and GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders at 20% and GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders at 18% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi: GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders: 29¢ on Kalshi. GTA 6 has surpassed 5 million preorders: 27¢ on Kalshi. GTA 6 has surpassed 10 million preorders: 20¢ on Kalshi. GTA 6 has surpassed 12.5 million preorders: 18¢ on Kalshi. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.0% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 29¢ means the market estimates a 29% probability that GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders will be the outcome. Buying one share at 29¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 245% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
GTA 6 has surpassed 7.5 million preorders
29.0% avg
