Prediction Hunt logoPrediction Hunt
MarketsArbitrageSmart MoneyTrendingPaper TradingAPIPricing
Live
Prediction Hunt

Compare prediction market odds across every platform. Find the best prices and track smart money.

Markets

  • Elections
  • Sports
  • Crypto
  • Entertainment
  • US Presidential Election Hub
  • Archive

Tools

  • Trending
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Calculators
  • News
  • Blog

Community

  • Discord
  • Twitter / X
  • Tools
  • About
  • Affiliate Program
  • API Terms of Service

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

MarketsArbWhalesTrending

Live prediction market odds for Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.

Discord
Follow on X

Kalshi / Polymarket

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?

2026-05-01

About This Market

Share

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026. The outcome will influence party dynamics and strategies leading up to the gubernatorial election, as candidates position themselves to appeal to voters in a competitive landscape.

Lisa Demuth leads the “Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026” event at 65.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Brad Kohler (20.5%), Kendall Qualls (14.8%), Chris Madel (12.6%), and Kristin Robbins (12.6%). A 39.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
LD
Lisa Demuth
66% Avg
Kalshi66¢
Polymarket68¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
65.5%65¢66¢34¢35¢
PolymarketPolymarket
66.0%64¢68¢32¢36¢
BK
Brad KohlerARB
20% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket60¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
40.0%20¢60¢40¢80¢
KQ
Kendall Qualls
15% Avg
Kalshi16¢
Polymarket16¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
15.5%15¢16¢84¢85¢
PolymarketPolymarket
14.5%13¢16¢84¢87¢
CM
Chris MadelARB
13% Avg
Kalshi0¢
Polymarket30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.0%0¢0¢100¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%20¢30¢70¢80¢
KR
Kristin RobbinsARB
13% Avg
Kalshi1¢
Polymarket30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
PolymarketPolymarket
25.0%20¢30¢70¢80¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Lisa Demuth

Lisa Demuth is the Speaker of the Minnesota House of Representatives, representing District 13A. She previously served as the House Minority Leader and was the first Black lawmaker to hold that position. She is running for the Republican nomination for governor in the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.

About Kendall Qualls

Kendall Qualls is a Republican candidate for Governor of Minnesota in 2026. He previously ran for governor in 2022 and for Congress in 2020. His candidacy is relevant to this prediction market as he is actively campaigning for the 2026 gubernatorial election.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Republican nominee in Minnesota?

Factors include candidate popularity, fundraising success, and endorsements. Additionally, polling data and public sentiment towards key issues play a crucial role.

When is the primary election for the Minnesota gubernatorial race?

The primary election is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is critical as it determines which candidates will advance to the general election.

How do prediction markets work for political nominations?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events. Prices reflect the collective beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes, influenced by real-time information and events.

What is "Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?" and why does it matter?

Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Lisa Demuth leads at 66% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Brad Kohler at 21%, Kendall Qualls at 15%, Chris Madel at 13%.

What is moving the odds on "Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?"?

Lisa Demuth currently leads at 66% implied probability. Behind Lisa Demuth, Brad Kohler at 21% and Kendall Qualls at 15% and Chris Madel at 13% are the next closest contenders. The 39.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

Automate This Market

Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?” event. All for free.

As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et

Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread39.0%
Platforms2
Candidates6

Market Rulebook: Republican nominee for Governor in Minnesota in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Scott Jensen wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Minnesota Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Republican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?
Leader

Lisa Demuth

65.8% avg