Live prediction market odds for Republican nominee for Governor in Pennsylvania in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-01
This market resolved on 2026-05-01. Stacy Garrity was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the race for the Republican nominee for Governor in Pennsylvania in 2026. Factors such as candidate endorsements, fundraising efforts, and voter sentiment will influence the odds as the election approaches.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Stacy GarrityWINNER | 99% | 99% |
Doug Mastriano | 2% | 40% |
Candidate endorsements, fundraising capabilities, and public polling data are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party dynamics can significantly impact market predictions.
The election for Governor in Pennsylvania is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This timeline allows for various primaries and campaign activities leading up to the election.
Prediction markets aggregate the collective opinions of participants to forecast outcomes of events like elections. Prices reflect the perceived likelihood of various candidates winning, based on real-time information and market sentiment.
Republican nominee for Governor in Pennsylvania in 2026 was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Stacy Garrity led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Doug Mastriano at 21%.
Stacy Garrity held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Stacy Garrity, Doug Mastriano at 21% were the next closest contenders. The 38.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Stacy Garrity wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Pennsylvania Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Pennsylvania, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Pennsylvania Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Stacy Garrity
99.0% avg
