Live prediction market odds for Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-01
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026. This race is pivotal as it could influence the balance of power in the Senate and reflects broader trends in voter sentiment and party dynamics leading up to the election.
Ashley B. Moody is priced at 93.3% implied probability for the “Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026” event. A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Factors include polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising capabilities. Additionally, shifts in voter demographics and political climate can significantly impact market perceptions.
Prediction markets aggregate bets placed by participants, reflecting their beliefs about the outcomes. Prices fluctuate based on new information and market sentiment, providing real-time insights into candidate viability.
The primary election for the Republican Senate nominee in Florida is scheduled for May 1, 2026. This date is crucial as it sets the stage for the general election later that year.
Republican nominee for Senate in Florida in 2026 is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Ashley B. Moody leads at 93% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Ashley B. Moody currently leads at 93% implied probability. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Ashley Moody wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Class III (special election) Florida Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ashley B. Moody
93.3% avg
