Live prediction market odds for Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Polymarket / Predict.fun
2027-01-01
Predict.fun + Polymarket pair (auto-ingested via condition_id cross-ref)
$200M leads the “Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch” event at 50.8% implied probability. Other contenders include $1B (50.5%), $150M (50.4%), $300M (9.5%), and $400M (3.2%). A 97.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Polymarket, Predict.fun). $200M leads at 51% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include $1B at 99%, $150M at 84%, $300M at 8%.
$200M currently leads at 51% implied probability. Behind $200M, $1B at 99% and $150M at 84% and $300M at 8% are the next closest contenders. The 97.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Polymarket, Predict.fun: $200M: 84¢ on Polymarket. $1B: 99¢ on Polymarket. $150M: 84¢ on Polymarket. $300M: 8¢ on Polymarket. The 97.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 51¢ means the market estimates a 51% probability that $200M will be the outcome. Buying one share at 51¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 96% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 3K+ Discord community
$200M
50.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun{'description': 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Reya\'s token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Reya (https://x.com/reya_xyz) doesn\'t launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".\n\nCreated At: 2026-03-02T13:27:00.568813455Z'}
