Live prediction market odds for Saint Joseph's at St. Bonaventure. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-19
This market resolved on 2026-02-19. Saint Joseph's was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Saint Joseph'sWINNER | 99% | 91% |
Saint Joseph's Hawks | 99% | 91% |
Saint Joseph's at St. Bonaventure was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Saint Joseph's led the market at 95% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Saint Joseph's Hawks at 95%.
Saint Joseph's held the lead at 95% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Saint Joseph's, Saint Joseph's Hawks at 95% were the next closest contenders. The 8.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Saint Joseph's: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. Saint Joseph's Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket. The 8.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 95¢ meant the market estimated a 95% chance that Saint Joseph's would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 95¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 5% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Saint Joseph's
94.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Saint Joseph's wins the Saint Joseph's at St. Bonaventure men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the team who wins the Saint Joseph's at St. Bonaventure men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two weeks). If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further than two weeks out, the market will resolve to a fair price for each team in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
