Live prediction market odds for Saudi Arabia: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Group Stage leads the “Saudi Arabia: Stage of Elimination” event at 70.0% implied probability, followed by Round of 32 at 22.0%. A 4.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Saudi Arabia: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Group Stage leads at 70% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Round of 32 at 22%.
Group Stage currently leads at 70% implied probability. Behind Group Stage, Round of 32 at 22% are the next closest contenders. The 4.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Group Stage: 72¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket. Round of 32: 24¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 4.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 70¢ means the market estimates a 70% probability that Group Stage will be the outcome. Buying one share at 70¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 43% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Group Stage
70.0% avg
