Live prediction market odds for Scotland: Stage of Elimination. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-07-19
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking Scotland's stage of elimination in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The outcome will depend on Scotland's performance in the tournament, influencing national pride and future investments in football development.
Round of 32 is priced at 58.5% implied probability for the “Scotland: Stage of Elimination” event. A 9.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Team performance in qualifiers, player fitness, and historical performance in international tournaments are key factors. Additionally, the strength of their group stage opponents will impact their chances.
Odds are influenced by real-time data, including expert analyses, fan sentiment, and betting patterns. As the tournament progresses, these factors can lead to significant shifts in the odds.
Success in the World Cup can enhance Scotland's international reputation and boost investment in football infrastructure. A strong performance may also inspire future generations of players.
Scotland: Stage of Elimination is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Round of 32 leads at 59% implied probability, making it the market favorite.
Round of 32 currently leads at 59% implied probability. The 9.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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Round of 32
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Scotland is eliminated in the Round of 32 in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, if a team withdraws, forfeits or is disqualified at any point during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, their stage of elimination will be determined by the farthest stage they reached prior to withdrawal, forfeit or disqualification. For example, if a team withdraws after winning their Round of 32 match, the market titled "Round of 16" will resolve to Yes since that would be the next stage where they would have been eliminated had they continued competing. Note: If a team loses in the Semifinals, the market titled "Semifinals" will resolve to Yes, regardless of whether they win the third-place match. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between FIFA and Kalshi.
Polymarket58.5% avg
