Live prediction market odds for SD-AL Democratic nominee?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-06-02
This market resolved on 2026-06-02. Nikki Gronli was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 50%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Democratic nominee for the SD-AL election. The outcome will influence party strategy and resource allocation in a key electoral race leading up to the 2026 elections.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Nikki GronliWINNER | 100% | 1% |
Scott Schlagel | 1% | 1% |
Polling data, candidate endorsements, and fundraising efforts are critical in shaping the odds. Additionally, shifts in voter sentiment and party dynamics can significantly impact predictions.
The nominee's stance on key issues can mobilize voters and influence turnout. A strong candidate may also attract more funding and support from the national party.
The primary election is scheduled for June 2, 2026. This date is crucial as it sets the stage for the general election and party positioning.
SD-AL Democratic nominee was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Nikki Gronli led the market at 50% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Scott Schlagel at 1%.
Nikki Gronli held the lead at 50% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Nikki Gronli, Scott Schlagel at 1% were the next closest contenders. The 98.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Nikki Gronli
50.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Nikki Gronli wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 SD-AL House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.
