Live prediction market odds for Serie A Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-05-28
This market resolved on 2026-05-28. Cremonese was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 75%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Serie A Relegation event as the season approaches its conclusion. The stakes are high as teams fight to avoid dropping to a lower division, impacting club finances and fan loyalty.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
CremoneseWINNER | 99% | 50% |
Lecce | 1% | 50% |
Relegation odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, and remaining match schedules. Additionally, head-to-head results and overall league standings play a crucial role.
Relegation can lead to significant financial losses due to decreased broadcasting revenue and sponsorships. Clubs may also face challenges in retaining players and attracting new talent.
The Serie A season usually concludes in late May. The final matches are critical as they determine which teams will be relegated to lower divisions.
Serie A Relegation was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Cremonese led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Lecce at 26%.
Cremonese held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Cremonese, Lecce at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cremonese is relegated from Serie A in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cremonese
74.5% avg
