Live prediction market odds for Serie A Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-28
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Serie A Relegation event as the season approaches its conclusion. The stakes are high as teams fight to avoid dropping to a lower division, impacting club finances and fan loyalty.
Verona leads the “Serie A Relegation” event at 98.3% implied probability. Other contenders include Pisa (97.6%), Lecce (65.8%), Cremonese (58.0%), and Udinese (34.9%). A 68.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Relegation odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, and remaining match schedules. Additionally, head-to-head results and overall league standings play a crucial role.
Relegation can lead to significant financial losses due to decreased broadcasting revenue and sponsorships. Clubs may also face challenges in retaining players and attracting new talent.
The Serie A season usually concludes in late May. The final matches are critical as they determine which teams will be relegated to lower divisions.
Serie A Relegation is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Verona leads at 98% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Verona at 98%, Pisa at 98%, Lecce at 66%.
Verona currently leads at 98% implied probability. Behind Verona, Verona at 98% and Pisa at 98% and Lecce at 66% are the next closest contenders. The 68.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Serie A Relegation” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2.5K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cremonese is relegated from Serie A in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Verona
98.3% avg
