Live prediction market odds for Serie A Relegation. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-28
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Serie A Relegation event as the season approaches its conclusion. The stakes are high as teams fight to avoid dropping to a lower division, impacting club finances and fan loyalty.
Verona leads Serie A Relegation at 95.2% implied probability. Other contenders include Pisa (95.9%), Cremonese (60.5%), Lecce (32.3%), and Genoa (9.3%). A 12.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Relegation odds are influenced by team performance, injuries, and remaining match schedules. Additionally, head-to-head results and overall league standings play a crucial role.
Relegation can lead to significant financial losses due to decreased broadcasting revenue and sponsorships. Clubs may also face challenges in retaining players and attracting new talent.
The Serie A season usually concludes in late May. The final matches are critical as they determine which teams will be relegated to lower divisions.
Serie A Relegation is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Verona leads at 95% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Pisa at 96%, Cremonese at 61%, Lecce at 32%.
Verona currently leads at 95% implied probability. Behind Verona, Pisa at 96% and Cremonese at 61% and Lecce at 32% are the next closest contenders. The 12.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Verona
95.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Cremonese is relegated from Serie A in 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Serie A after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Serie A following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Serie A season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
