Live prediction market odds for AC Milan vs. Napoli. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-06
AC Milan vs. Napoli — Serie A game scheduled for 2026-04-06. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli leads the “AC Milan vs. Napoli” event at 35.5% implied probability, followed by Tie at 31.8%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
AC Milan vs. Napoli is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli leads at 36% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Tie at 32%.
Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli currently leads at 36% implied probability. Behind Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli, Tie at 32% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli: 36¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket. Tie: 32¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 36¢ means the market estimates a 36% probability that Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli will be the outcome. Buying one share at 36¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 178% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
Serie A-2026-04-06-Napoli
35.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Napoli vs Milan professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Napoli vs Milan professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 6, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
