Live prediction market odds for Fiorentina vs. AS Roma. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-05-04
Fiorentina vs. AS Roma — Serie A game scheduled for 2026-05-04. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Draw leads the “Fiorentina vs. AS Roma” event at 23.3% implied probability, followed by Fiorentina at 19.3%. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread.
Fiorentina vs. AS Roma is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Draw leads at 23% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Fiorentina at 19%.
Draw currently leads at 23% implied probability. Behind Draw, Fiorentina at 19% are the next closest contenders. Platforms were tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, suggesting broad consensus on the odds.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Draw: 23¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket. Fiorentina: 20¢ on Kalshi, 19¢ on Polymarket. Platforms are tightly aligned at a 0.5% spread, leaving little room for cross-platform arbitrage.
A price of 23¢ means the market estimates a 23% probability that Draw will be the outcome. Buying one share at 23¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 335% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times, Guardian and Polymark.et
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This market resolves based on official announcements from authoritative sources. Prediction Hunt aggregates odds across platforms but does not determine outcomes. Each platform maintains its own resolution criteria — check each platform's rules before trading.
Draw
23.3% avg
