Live prediction market odds for Sassuolo vs. Fiorentina. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-04-26
Sassuolo vs. Fiorentina — Serie A game scheduled for 2026-04-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Fiorentina leads the “Sassuolo vs. Fiorentina” event at 49.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Draw (30.3%), and Sassuolo (21.8%). A 1.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sassuolo vs. Fiorentina is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Fiorentina leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Draw at 30%, Sassuolo at 22%.
Fiorentina currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Fiorentina, Draw at 30% and Sassuolo at 22% are the next closest contenders. A 1.5% spread across platforms indicated moderate disagreement on the latest developments.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Fiorentina: 50¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Draw: 30¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket. Sassuolo: 22¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket. The 1.5% spread shows moderate platform divergence worth monitoring for potential opportunities.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Fiorentina will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Opinion and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Tie wins the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
OpinionResolves Yes if the match ends in a draw after regular time. Resolves No if either team wins. Does not apply in competitions where draws are not possible.
PolymarketIn the upcoming game, scheduled for April 26, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Fiorentina
49.8% avg
