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Live prediction market odds for South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi / Polymarket

South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner

2026-07-31

About This Market

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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner. This primary is crucial as it could influence the Democratic Party's strategy and candidate selection ahead of the general election, impacting the balance of power in the Senate.

Annie Andrews leads the “South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner” event at 89.8% implied probability. Other contenders include Catherine Fleming Bruce (5.1%), and Kyle Freeman (3.5%). A 3.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
No price history available

Live Markets

2 platforms
AA
Annie Andrews
89% Avg
Kalshi92¢
Polymarket90¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
89.5%87¢92¢8¢13¢
PolymarketPolymarket
88.5%87¢90¢10¢13¢
CF
Catherine Fleming Bruce
5% Avg
Kalshi6¢
Polymarket7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%2¢6¢94¢98¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%6¢7¢93¢94¢
KF
Kyle Freeman
4% Avg
Kalshi5¢
Polymarket6¢
PlatformImplied %Yes — Bid / AskNo — Bid / Ask
KalshiKalshi
3.0%1¢5¢95¢99¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.0%4¢6¢94¢96¢

Candidate Spotlight

About Annie Andrews

Annie Andrews is a pediatrician and Democratic candidate for the 2026 South Carolina Senate election. She previously ran for Congress in 2022, challenging Rep. Nancy Mace. She is relevant to this prediction market as a leading contender in the Democratic primary for the Senate seat.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of the South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary?

The primary serves as a key indicator of voter sentiment within the Democratic Party. Outcomes can shape campaign strategies and influence national party dynamics leading into the general election.

How do prediction markets reflect the candidates' chances?

Prediction markets aggregate the collective insights of participants, reflecting real-time sentiment about candidates' viability. As new information emerges, such as polling data or endorsements, odds can fluctuate significantly.

When is the South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary scheduled?

The primary is scheduled for July 31, 2026. This timing places it strategically within the election cycle, allowing for potential shifts in voter engagement leading up to the general election.

What is "South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner" and why does it matter?

South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Annie Andrews leads at 90% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Catherine Fleming Bruce at 5%, Kyle Freeman at 4%.

What is moving the odds on "South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner"?

Annie Andrews currently leads at 90% implied probability. Behind Annie Andrews, Catherine Fleming Bruce at 5% and Kyle Freeman at 4% are the next closest contenders. The 3.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.

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Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread3.0%
Platforms

Market Rulebook: South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Catherine Fleming Bruce wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Senate South Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution Oracles
Democratic PartyRepublican Party
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina. If no 2026 South Carolina Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
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2
Candidates3
Leader

Annie Andrews

89.8% avg